Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 10:00 • Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.32) 1.26 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 29.6% 50.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerezo Osaka 0 14.4% 18.1% 11.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.3% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack58%50%
Defense25%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerezo Osaka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Played141327141428
Wins50%23%37%50%57%54%
Draws29%31%30%14%14%14%
Loses21%46%33%36%29%32%

Form: Cerezo Osaka: WLLDDLDWLWDLLWWWLWDWDWLDWLD • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWDWDLWWLLLLWWWWWLDWLLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Cerezo Osaka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
GF total212041132033
GF avg1.51.51.50.91.41.2
GA total14243811819
GA avg1.01.81.40.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%85%75%57%
1.541%48%29%11%
2.522%7%11%0%
3.57%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Clean sheets3145712
Failed to score156437

Penalties

MetricCerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricCerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Wins35
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-52-10-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-22-1
Goals For4524
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricCerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Form33%67%
Att54%46%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total28.5%71.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerezo Osaka = 0.68 (league 1.32), Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 1.26 (league 1.11)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerezo Osaka 0 14.4% 18.1% 11.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.3% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 50.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1