Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 09:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.32) 0.79 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 37.7% 35.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 24.0% 19.0% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 12.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokyo VerdyFagiano Okayama
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack10%60%
Defense50%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokyo Verdy Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Played141529161329
Wins43%13%28%44%31%38%
Draws7%47%28%19%23%21%
Loses50%40%45%38%46%41%

Form: Tokyo Verdy: LLWLDWDDDLDWWLWLLWDLLWDLWLLDL • Fagiano Okayama: WLWDLDWLWWLDLLDLWDDLWWLLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Tokyo Verdy Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
GF total10616161026
GF avg0.70.40.61.00.80.9
GA total151429131629
GA avg1.10.91.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokyo VerdyFagiano Okayama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%55%62%66%
1.514%31%24%24%
2.50%10%3%3%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokyo VerdyFagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Clean sheets58136410
Failed to score710175611

Penalties

MetricTokyo VerdyFagiano Okayama
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTokyo VerdyFagiano Okayama
Wins23
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-01-25-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricTokyo VerdyFagiano Okayama
Form31%69%
Att14%86%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fagiano Okayama and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ SBO
Draw3.07 @ 1xBet
Away3.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tokyo Verdy = 0.64 (league 1.32), Fagiano Okayama = 0.79 (league 1.11)

Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 24.0% 19.0% 7.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 12.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 35.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1