Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 08:00 • Toyota Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.32) 0.54 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 17.2% 7.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Shonan Bellmare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nagoya Grampus 0 6.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.6% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.3% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNagoya GrampusShonan Bellmare
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack78%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins36%20%28%21%20%21%
Draws36%20%28%36%13%24%
Loses29%60%45%43%67%55%

Form: Nagoya Grampus: LDLLDLWWLLWLLWDDDWWLDWDLLLLDW • Shonan Bellmare: WWWDDLLLWLLWDLLWLLDLDLDLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Nagoya Grampus Shonan Bellmare
HATHAT
GF total21143518826
GF avg1.50.91.21.30.50.9
GA total172542212950
GA avg1.21.71.41.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNagoya GrampusShonan Bellmare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%55%83%
1.531%45%24%48%
2.510%14%7%24%
3.50%7%3%14%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNagoya GrampusShonan Bellmare
HATHAT
Clean sheets426235
Failed to score2464913

Penalties

MetricNagoya GrampusShonan Bellmare
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNagoya GrampusShonan Bellmare
Wins23
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-10-2
Biggest losses3-44-04-54-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricNagoya GrampusShonan Bellmare
Form80%20%
Att54%46%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total59.3%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Nagoya Grampus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away4.93 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nagoya Grampus = 2.15 (league 1.32), Shonan Bellmare = 0.54 (league 1.11)

Shonan Bellmare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nagoya Grampus 0 6.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.6% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 8.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.3% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1