Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 09:30 • Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.32) 1.17 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 29.1% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Kashiwa Reysol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerezo Osaka 0 11.2% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack69%69%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerezo Osaka Kashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
Played151429141529
Wins47%29%38%57%47%52%
Draws33%29%31%29%33%31%
Loses20%43%31%14%20%17%

Form: Cerezo Osaka: WLLDDLDWLWDLLWWWLWDWDWLDWLDDW • Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWLDDDWDWDWWWWLDLWDWWLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Cerezo Osaka Kashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
GF total222446222042
GF avg1.51.71.61.61.31.4
GA total152641151328
GA avg1.01.91.41.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%90%55%
1.541%48%41%24%
2.524%7%10%17%
3.510%0%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
HATHAT
Clean sheets3146713
Failed to score156123

Penalties

MetricCerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Wins34
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-54-20-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-33-0
Goals For4543
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kashiwa Reysol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away2.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerezo Osaka = 1.02 (league 1.32), Kashiwa Reysol = 1.17 (league 1.11)

Kashiwa Reysol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerezo Osaka 0 11.2% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1