J1 League — Japan
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.33) 1.07 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 28.9% 33.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.5%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tokyo 0 10.8% 11.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack25%19%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tokyo Yokohama F. Marinos
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins44%27%35%25%20%23%
Draws19%27%23%31%13%23%
Loses38%47%42%44%67%55%

Form: FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDLDWWW • Yokohama F. Marinos: DLDDWLLDDLLLLLLLWWLLLDWWLWDLLWL

League goals

Metric FC Tokyo Yokohama F. Marinos
HATHAT
GF total171633151429
GF avg1.11.11.10.90.90.9
GA total212142202141
GA avg1.31.41.41.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%74%52%74%
1.532%42%26%35%
2.516%16%16%23%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
HATHAT
Clean sheets538628
Failed to score76138715

Penalties

MetricFC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
Scored (total | %)5 | 83.33%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 16.67%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricFC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
Wins22
Draws22
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-33-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricFC TokyoYokohama F. Marinos
Form71%29%
Att57%43%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Tokyo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tokyo = 1.16 (league 1.33), Yokohama F. Marinos = 1.07 (league 1.10)

Yokohama F. Marinos
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tokyo 0 10.8% 11.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 33.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1