J1 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 08:00 • Panasonic Stadium Suita
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.33) 0.70 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 19.5% 11.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
13.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamba Osaka 0 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGamba OsakaAlbirex Niigata
Played55
Form80%7%
Attack93%7%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gamba Osaka Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins67%25%45%13%13%13%
Draws0%25%13%44%13%29%
Loses33%50%42%44%73%58%

Form: Gamba Osaka: LWLWWLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWLWWLLLWWWW • Albirex Niigata: DLLDDLDLWDLDWLDLWLWLLLLLLDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Gamba Osaka Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
GF total241842161127
GF avg1.61.11.41.00.70.9
GA total172845252550
GA avg1.11.81.51.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGamba OsakaAlbirex Niigata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%71%65%84%
1.542%39%19%52%
2.516%26%3%23%
3.56%6%0%3%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGamba OsakaAlbirex Niigata
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score46106511

Penalties

MetricGamba OsakaAlbirex Niigata
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGamba OsakaAlbirex Niigata
Wins31
Draws12
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-04-52-10-1
Biggest losses2-53-00-43-0
Goals For4532
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricGamba OsakaAlbirex Niigata
Form92%8%
Att93%7%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total71.0%29.0%

Advice: Winner : Gamba Osaka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away4.93 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gamba Osaka = 2.05 (league 1.33), Albirex Niigata = 0.70 (league 1.10)

Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gamba Osaka 0 6.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1