Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:30 • Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.32) 1.62 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 24.1% 42.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kyoto Sanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerezo Osaka 0 5.0% 8.1% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.1% 9.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack67%92%
Defense33%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerezo Osaka Kyoto Sanga
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins44%27%35%53%50%52%
Draws38%27%32%27%25%26%
Loses19%47%32%20%25%23%

Form: Cerezo Osaka: WLLDDLDWLWDLLWWWLWDWDWLDWLDDWDL • Kyoto Sanga: LDDWLWWDWWLWWLLWDWLWDWWDWWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Cerezo Osaka Kyoto Sanga
HATHAT
GF total232548252954
GF avg1.41.71.51.71.81.7
GA total162945122133
GA avg1.01.91.50.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%87%87%74%
1.539%48%52%23%
2.523%10%23%10%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets314538
Failed to score156224

Penalties

MetricCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
Scored (total | %)2 | 50.00%5 | 83.33%
Missed (total | %)2 | 50.00%1 | 16.67%
Total46

Streaks

MetricCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
Wins34
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-55-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-02-32-0
Goals For4554
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
Form43%57%
Att42%58%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kyoto Sanga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Unibet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerezo Osaka = 1.38 (league 1.32), Kyoto Sanga = 1.62 (league 1.11)

Kyoto Sanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerezo Osaka 0 5.0% 8.1% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.1% 9.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 42.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1