J1 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 09:00 • Best Denki Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.30) 1.32 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 28.9% 56.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 2
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avispa Fukuoka 0 16.2% 21.3% 14.0% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.2% 10.8% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack21%36%
Defense36%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins27%31%29%47%50%48%
Draws47%19%32%20%25%23%
Loses27%50%39%33%25%29%

Form: Avispa Fukuoka: LLLWWWDWWWLDDLLLDLDWWDDDWDDLLLL • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWDWDLWWLLLLWWWWWLDWLLWWDWLWDDD

League goals

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
GF total161430142135
GF avg1.10.91.00.91.31.1
GA total17183512921
GA avg1.11.11.10.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%74%58%
1.519%39%26%10%
2.56%6%10%0%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Clean sheets56115813
Failed to score5611448

Penalties

MetricAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Wins35
Draws31
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-52-10-4
Biggest losses2-43-11-22-1
Goals For3524
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricAvispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Form14%86%
Att38%63%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total28.5%71.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avispa Fukuoka = 0.51 (league 1.30), Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 1.32 (league 1.09)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avispa Fukuoka 0 16.2% 21.3% 14.0% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 8.2% 10.8% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 2.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 56.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1