Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 10:00 • Lemon Gas Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.32) 0.54 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 33.1% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
19.8%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tokyo Verdy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shonan Bellmare 0 19.8% 10.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShonan BellmareTokyo Verdy
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack30%20%
Defense30%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shonan Bellmare Tokyo Verdy
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins20%18%19%44%13%28%
Draws33%12%22%13%44%28%
Loses47%71%59%44%44%44%

Form: Shonan Bellmare: WWWDDLLLWLLWDLLWLLDLDLDLLDLLLLLL • Tokyo Verdy: LLWLDWDDDLDWWLWLLWDLLWDLWLLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Shonan Bellmare Tokyo Verdy
HATHAT
GF total1992814620
GF avg1.30.50.90.90.40.6
GA total233356171835
GA avg1.51.91.81.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShonan BellmareTokyo Verdy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%84%41%56%
1.522%50%16%34%
2.56%25%3%13%
3.53%13%3%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShonan BellmareTokyo Verdy
HATHAT
Clean sheets2356814
Failed to score4101481119

Penalties

MetricShonan BellmareTokyo Verdy
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricShonan BellmareTokyo Verdy
Wins32
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-20-1
Biggest losses4-54-00-34-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against5434

Model comparison

MetricShonan BellmareTokyo Verdy
Form0%100%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Shonan Bellmare or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.16 @ 1xBet
Away2.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shonan Bellmare = 1.08 (league 1.32), Tokyo Verdy = 0.54 (league 1.11)

Tokyo Verdy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shonan Bellmare 0 19.8% 10.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.4% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1