Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 06:00 • Kashima Soccer Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.32) 0.89 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 15.5% 10.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashima 0 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.0% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKashimaGamba Osaka
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kashima Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins69%56%63%69%25%47%
Draws19%6%13%0%25%13%
Loses13%38%25%31%50%41%

Form: Kashima: LWWWWDWLLLWWWWWWWLWDLLLWWDWDWWWW • Gamba Osaka: LWLWWLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWLWWLLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Kashima Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
GF total302252281846
GF avg1.91.41.61.81.11.4
GA total141428192847
GA avg0.90.90.91.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKashimaGamba Osaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%59%69%72%
1.541%19%44%41%
2.525%6%19%25%
3.56%3%9%6%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKashimaGamba Osaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613549
Failed to score0334610

Penalties

MetricKashimaGamba Osaka
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricKashimaGamba Osaka
Wins73
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-04-5
Biggest losses3-43-12-53-0
Goals For4445
Goals Against4354

Model comparison

MetricKashimaGamba Osaka
Form46%54%
Att43%57%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Kashima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Betano
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kashima = 2.59 (league 1.32), Gamba Osaka = 0.89 (league 1.11)

Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashima 0 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.0% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 9.2% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1