J1 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 04:00 • IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.32) 1.19 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 26.5% 32.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.6%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shimizu S-pulse 0 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack22%33%
Defense83%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shimizu S-pulse FC Tokyo
HATHAT
Played151732171532
Wins33%29%31%41%27%34%
Draws40%24%31%18%27%22%
Loses27%47%38%41%47%44%

Form: Shimizu S-pulse: WWDDLLWLLDWWWLLDLWLDDLLWDLDDWWDL • FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Shimizu S-pulse FC Tokyo
HATHAT
GF total201434191635
GF avg1.30.81.11.11.11.1
GA total182038242145
GA avg1.21.21.21.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%66%59%75%
1.528%38%34%44%
2.513%13%16%19%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611538
Failed to score47117613

Penalties

MetricShimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricShimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
Wins33
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-43-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricShimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shimizu S-pulse = 1.38 (league 1.32), FC Tokyo = 1.19 (league 1.11)

FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shimizu S-pulse 0 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 10.6% 12.6% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 32.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1