J1 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 10:00 • Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.33) 1.17 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 26.3% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Kawasaki Frontale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyoto Sanga 0 7.6% 8.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKyoto SangaKawasaki Frontale
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack50%78%
Defense78%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kyoto Sanga Kawasaki Frontale
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins53%53%53%44%44%44%
Draws27%24%25%31%31%31%
Loses20%24%22%25%25%25%

Form: Kyoto Sanga: LDDWLWWDWWLWWLLWDWLWDWWDWWWWDLDW • Kawasaki Frontale: WDWLDWWDDDLDLWWDDWWLWLWLLDWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Kyoto Sanga Kawasaki Frontale
HATHAT
GF total253156342559
GF avg1.71.81.82.11.61.8
GA total122234261844
GA avg0.81.31.11.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKyoto SangaKawasaki Frontale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%84%75%
1.553%22%59%38%
2.522%9%25%16%
3.59%0%13%6%
4.53%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKyoto SangaKawasaki Frontale
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricKyoto SangaKawasaki Frontale
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricKyoto SangaKawasaki Frontale
Wins43
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses2-32-02-52-1
Goals For5454
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricKyoto SangaKawasaki Frontale
Form44%56%
Att39%61%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Kyoto Sanga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.62 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.32 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.62 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kyoto Sanga = 1.41 (league 1.33), Kawasaki Frontale = 1.17 (league 1.10)

Kawasaki Frontale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyoto Sanga 0 7.6% 8.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.5% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 31.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1