Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 05:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.32) 0.79 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 29.7% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 13.3% 10.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokyo VerdyAlbirex Niigata
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokyo Verdy Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%18%30%12%13%12%
Draws13%41%27%47%13%30%
Loses44%41%42%41%75%58%

Form: Tokyo Verdy: LLWLDWDDDLDWWLWLLWDLLWDLWLLDLWLDW • Albirex Niigata: DLLDDLDLWDLDWLDLWLWLLLLLLDLLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Tokyo Verdy Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
GF total14721171330
GF avg0.90.40.61.00.80.9
GA total171835262955
GA avg1.11.11.11.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokyo VerdyAlbirex Niigata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%55%67%85%
1.515%33%21%52%
2.53%12%3%24%
3.53%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokyo VerdyAlbirex Niigata
HATHAT
Clean sheets6915325
Failed to score811196511

Penalties

MetricTokyo VerdyAlbirex Niigata
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTokyo VerdyAlbirex Niigata
Wins21
Draws32
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-12-10-1
Biggest losses0-34-00-43-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricTokyo VerdyAlbirex Niigata
Form78%22%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total67.7%32.5%

Advice: Double chance : Tokyo Verdy or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tokyo Verdy = 1.22 (league 1.32), Albirex Niigata = 0.79 (league 1.11)

Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 13.3% 10.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.9% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1