Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 05:00 • Machida GION Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.32) 0.81 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 30.4% 25.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Avispa Fukuoka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 13.9% 11.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMachida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Machida Zelvia Avispa Fukuoka
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins50%47%48%29%31%30%
Draws13%29%21%41%19%30%
Loses38%24%30%29%50%39%

Form: Machida Zelvia: LWLWWWDWDLLLWLLDWDLWWWWWWWWDLDDWL • Avispa Fukuoka: LLLWWWDWWWLDDLLLDLDWWDDDWDDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Machida Zelvia Avispa Fukuoka
HATHAT
GF total232649181432
GF avg1.41.51.51.10.91.0
GA total161935191837
GA avg1.01.11.11.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMachida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%67%64%
1.548%30%18%39%
2.518%6%6%6%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMachida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
HATHAT
Clean sheets66126612
Failed to score4375611

Penalties

MetricMachida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMachida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
Wins83
Draws23
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-22-5
Biggest losses0-35-32-43-1
Goals For3435
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricMachida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
Form63%38%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total58.0%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Machida Zelvia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 188Bet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away5.37 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ Pinnacle
No1.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Machida Zelvia = 1.16 (league 1.32), Avispa Fukuoka = 0.81 (league 1.11)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Machida Zelvia 0 13.9% 11.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1