Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 10:00 • Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.32) 0.79 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 31.9% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 15.7% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFC Tokyo
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack86%86%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Tokyo
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins50%53%52%41%25%33%
Draws19%24%21%18%31%24%
Loses31%24%27%41%44%42%

Form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWDWDLWWLLLLWWWWWLDWLLWWDWLWDDDWW • FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDLDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Tokyo
HATHAT
GF total162339191736
GF avg1.01.41.21.11.11.1
GA total131023242246
GA avg0.80.60.71.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanfrecce HiroshimaFC Tokyo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%61%61%76%
1.530%9%33%42%
2.59%0%15%18%
3.53%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFC Tokyo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5813538
Failed to score4487613

Penalties

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFC Tokyo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFC Tokyo
Wins53
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-43-0
Goals For2433
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricSanfrecce HiroshimaFC Tokyo
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away6.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 1.06 (league 1.32), FC Tokyo = 0.79 (league 1.11)

FC Tokyo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 15.7% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1