J1 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 05:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.33) 1.02 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 29.2% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tokyo 0 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TokyoFagiano Okayama
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack28%22%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tokyo Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins41%24%32%39%25%32%
Draws18%35%26%22%25%24%
Loses41%41%41%39%50%44%

Form: FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDLDWWWLDD • Fagiano Okayama: WLWDLDWLWWLDLLDLWDDLWWLLWWWLLLDLDL

League goals

Metric FC Tokyo Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
GF total191736171330
GF avg1.11.01.10.90.80.9
GA total242246152237
GA avg1.41.31.40.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TokyoFagiano Okayama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%74%62%68%
1.532%41%24%26%
2.515%18%3%6%
3.50%3%0%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TokyoFagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497411
Failed to score77146713

Penalties

MetricFC TokyoFagiano Okayama
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricFC TokyoFagiano Okayama
Wins33
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-01-25-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against4325

Model comparison

MetricFC TokyoFagiano Okayama
Form80%20%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : FC Tokyo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Superbet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tokyo = 1.16 (league 1.33), Fagiano Okayama = 1.02 (league 1.10)

Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tokyo 0 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 31.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1