J1 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 05:00 • Toyota Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.33) 1.41 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 22.9% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nagoya Grampus 0 4.0% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.2% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack39%44%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins41%18%29%65%24%44%
Draws29%29%29%0%29%15%
Loses29%53%41%35%47%41%

Form: Nagoya Grampus: LDLLDLWWLLWLLWDDDWWLDWDLLLLDWWDLWD • Gamba Osaka: LWLWWLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWLWWLLLWWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
GF total261642281846
GF avg1.50.91.21.61.11.4
GA total232750242852
GA avg1.41.61.51.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%79%65%71%
1.535%44%41%41%
2.512%15%18%26%
3.50%9%9%9%
4.50%0%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375510
Failed to score3585712

Penalties

MetricNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
Wins25
Draws31
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-04-5
Biggest losses0-44-00-53-0
Goals For3345
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gamba Osaka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nagoya Grampus = 1.81 (league 1.33), Gamba Osaka = 1.41 (league 1.10)

Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nagoya Grampus 0 4.0% 5.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.2% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1