J1 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 05:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.32) 0.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 37.1% 30.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.8%
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Avispa Fukuoka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 22.8% 16.6% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack18%27%
Defense55%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokyo Verdy Avispa Fukuoka
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%17%31%33%29%31%
Draws12%39%26%39%24%31%
Loses41%44%43%28%47%37%

Form: Tokyo Verdy: LLWLDWDDDLDWWLWLLWDLLWDLWLLDLWLDWWL • Avispa Fukuoka: LLLWWWDWWWLDDLLLDLDWWDDDWDDLLLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Tokyo Verdy Avispa Fukuoka
HATHAT
GF total15722191433
GF avg0.90.40.61.10.80.9
GA total171936191837
GA avg1.01.11.01.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%54%66%60%
1.514%31%17%37%
2.53%11%6%6%
3.53%6%3%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
HATHAT
Clean sheets79167714
Failed to score812205712

Penalties

MetricTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
Wins23
Draws33
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-13-22-5
Biggest losses0-34-02-43-1
Goals For4235
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricTokyo VerdyAvispa Fukuoka
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h75%25%
Goals71%29%
Total53.7%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tokyo Verdy or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.92 @ 188Bet
Away2.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.63 @ 188Bet
No1.53 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tokyo Verdy = 0.75 (league 1.32), Avispa Fukuoka = 0.73 (league 1.10)

Avispa Fukuoka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 22.8% 16.6% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1