J1 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 06:00 • Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.33) 1.24 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.6% 17.1% 16.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kawasaki Frontale 0 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.3% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack100%27%
Defense0%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins47%39%43%39%24%31%
Draws29%33%31%22%24%23%
Loses24%28%26%39%53%46%

Form: Kawasaki Frontale: WDWLDWWDDDLDLWWDDWWLWLWLLDWWWLWDDWL • Fagiano Okayama: WLWDLDWLWWLDLLDLWDDLWWLLWWWLLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Fagiano Okayama
HATHAT
GF total392665171431
GF avg2.31.41.90.90.80.9
GA total292150152540
GA avg1.71.21.40.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%77%63%69%
1.557%40%23%29%
2.526%17%3%9%
3.514%6%0%6%
4.56%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487411
Failed to score3366713

Penalties

MetricKawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricKawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
Wins33
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses2-52-01-25-0
Goals For5423
Goals Against5325

Model comparison

MetricKawasaki FrontaleFagiano Okayama
Form80%20%
Att80%20%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Winner : Kawasaki Frontale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Superbet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kawasaki Frontale = 2.60 (league 1.33), Fagiano Okayama = 1.24 (league 1.10)

Fagiano Okayama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kawasaki Frontale 0 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.3% 9.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 4.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1