J1 League — Japan
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 06:00 • Lemon Gas Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.32) 1.09 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 24.6% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shonan Bellmare 0 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack18%45%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shonan Bellmare Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins18%17%17%11%12%11%
Draws35%11%23%50%12%31%
Loses47%72%60%39%76%57%

Form: Shonan Bellmare: WWWDDLLLWLLWDLLWLLDLDLDLLDLLLLLLLDL • Albirex Niigata: DLLDDLDLWDLDWLDLWLWLLLLLLDLLLLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Shonan Bellmare Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
GF total20929191332
GF avg1.20.50.81.10.80.9
GA total253459283058
GA avg1.51.91.71.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%86%66%86%
1.520%46%23%51%
2.56%23%3%23%
3.53%11%0%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score511166612

Penalties

MetricShonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricShonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
Wins31
Draws22
Losses76

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-10-1
Biggest losses4-54-00-43-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against5444

Model comparison

MetricShonan BellmareAlbirex Niigata
Form25%75%
Att29%71%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Albirex Niigata

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shonan Bellmare = 1.64 (league 1.32), Albirex Niigata = 1.09 (league 1.10)

Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shonan Bellmare 0 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1