J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 05:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.32) 1.07 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 33.7% 49.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.6%
0 - 0
21.2%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kashima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 21.2% 22.6% 12.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.3% 11.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTokyo VerdyKashima
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack14%50%
Defense93%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tokyo Verdy Kashima
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins44%17%31%67%50%58%
Draws17%39%28%22%17%19%
Loses39%44%42%11%33%22%

Form: Tokyo Verdy: LLWLDWDDDLDWWLWLLWDLLWDLWLLDLWLDWWLD • Kashima: LWWWWDWLLLWWWWWWWLWDLLLWWDWDWWWWDDDW

League goals

Metric Tokyo Verdy Kashima
HATHAT
GF total15722322355
GF avg0.80.40.61.81.31.5
GA total171936151530
GA avg0.91.11.00.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTokyo VerdyKashima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%53%86%58%
1.514%31%39%17%
2.53%11%22%6%
3.53%6%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTokyo VerdyKashima
HATHAT
Clean sheets89178715
Failed to score91221145

Penalties

MetricTokyo VerdyKashima
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricTokyo VerdyKashima
Wins27
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-14-00-4
Biggest losses0-34-03-43-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricTokyo VerdyKashima
Form47%53%
Att22%78%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kashima and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.30 @ 188Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away1.78 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tokyo Verdy = 0.48 (league 1.32), Kashima = 1.07 (league 1.10)

Kashima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tokyo Verdy 0 21.2% 22.6% 12.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.3% 11.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 49.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1