J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 05:00 • Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.32) 2.01 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 21.4% 55.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
9.8%
0 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kawasaki Frontale 0 4.2% 8.4% 8.4% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack79%50%
Defense21%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins44%39%42%50%50%50%
Draws33%33%33%22%22%22%
Loses22%28%25%28%28%28%

Form: Kawasaki Frontale: WDWLDWWDDDLDLWWDDWWLWLWLLDWWWLWDDWLD • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWDWDLWWLLLLWWWWWLDWLLWWDWLWDDDWWDLW

League goals

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
GF total402666192342
GF avg2.21.41.81.11.31.2
GA total302151131326
GA avg1.71.21.40.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%72%58%
1.556%39%31%11%
2.525%17%11%3%
3.514%6%3%0%
4.56%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487815
Failed to score3365510

Penalties

MetricKawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricKawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Wins35
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-4
Biggest losses2-52-01-23-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricKawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Form38%63%
Att61%39%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kawasaki Frontale = 1.17 (league 1.32), Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 2.01 (league 1.10)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kawasaki Frontale 0 4.2% 8.4% 8.4% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 55.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1