J1 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 05:00 • Best Denki Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.32) 1.10 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 27.2% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avispa Fukuoka 0 8.8% 9.7% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack21%50%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins33%28%31%61%28%44%
Draws39%28%33%6%28%17%
Loses28%44%36%33%44%39%

Form: Avispa Fukuoka: LLLWWWDWWWLDDLLLDLDWWDDDWDDLLLLLWDWD • Gamba Osaka: LWLWWLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWLWWLLLWWWWWDLWD

League goals

Metric Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka
HATHAT
GF total191433292049
GF avg1.10.80.91.61.11.4
GA total191837252853
GA avg1.11.01.01.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%58%67%69%
1.517%36%42%39%
2.56%6%17%25%
3.53%3%8%8%
4.53%0%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
HATHAT
Clean sheets78155611
Failed to score58135712

Penalties

MetricAvispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricAvispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
Wins35
Draws31
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-54-00-2
Biggest losses2-43-10-53-0
Goals For3545
Goals Against4354

Model comparison

MetricAvispa FukuokaGamba Osaka
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Avispa Fukuoka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avispa Fukuoka = 1.33 (league 1.32), Gamba Osaka = 1.10 (league 1.10)

Gamba Osaka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avispa Fukuoka 0 8.8% 9.7% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.7% 12.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 30.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1