J1 League — Japan
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 05:00 • Ajinomoto Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.32) 1.02 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 23.8% 22.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tokyo 0 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TokyoAlbirex Niigata
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack71%86%
Defense71%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tokyo Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%26%35%11%11%11%
Draws17%37%27%47%11%30%
Loses39%37%38%42%78%59%

Form: FC Tokyo: WLWLDLLDLDDWLWWLLLDLWWLWLDLDWWWLDDWWD • Albirex Niigata: DLLDDLDLWDLDWLDLWLWLLLLLLDLLLLDLDLDLL

League goals

Metric FC Tokyo Albirex Niigata
HATHAT
GF total221840201535
GF avg1.20.91.11.10.80.9
GA total252247313566
GA avg1.41.21.31.61.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TokyoAlbirex Niigata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%70%68%86%
1.532%38%24%54%
2.516%16%3%27%
3.50%3%0%8%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TokyoAlbirex Niigata
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611325
Failed to score78156612

Penalties

MetricFC TokyoAlbirex Niigata
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricFC TokyoAlbirex Niigata
Wins31
Draws22
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-10-1
Biggest losses0-43-00-45-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricFC TokyoAlbirex Niigata
Form82%18%
Att45%55%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total73.3%26.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC Tokyo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away4.61 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tokyo = 1.73 (league 1.32), Albirex Niigata = 1.02 (league 1.10)

Albirex Niigata
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tokyo 0 6.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1