Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 18:45 • Markets Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.57) 1.45 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 25.9% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Treaty United 0 7.1% 10.3% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTreaty UnitedUCD
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack16%42%
Defense26%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Treaty United UCD
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%13%31%27%57%41%
Draws21%33%28%33%14%24%
Loses29%53%41%40%29%34%

Form: Treaty United: LWWDLDLWLDLWWLWWLWDDLDWDLDLLL • UCD: LDDLDWLLWLLWLDLWWDLWWDWWLWWDW

League goals

Metric Treaty United UCD
HATHAT
GF total241741131932
GF avg1.71.11.40.91.41.1
GA total182139171532
GA avg1.31.41.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTreaty UnitedUCD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%76%66%72%
1.541%34%31%24%
2.517%10%14%10%
3.510%3%0%3%
4.57%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTreaty UnitedUCD
HATHAT
Clean sheets437358
Failed to score46107310

Penalties

MetricTreaty UnitedUCD
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricTreaty UnitedUCD
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-53-10-3
Biggest losses0-72-00-34-0
Goals For5533
Goals Against7334

Model comparison

MetricTreaty UnitedUCD
Form9%91%
Att27%73%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UCD

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.27 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bwin
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Treaty United = 1.19 (league 1.57), UCD = 1.45 (league 1.25)

UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Treaty United 0 7.1% 10.3% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.3% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1