Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 18:45 • Athlone Town Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.58) 1.95 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 21.8% 55.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athlone Town 0 4.7% 9.1% 8.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
1 5.2% 10.1% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.9% 5.6% 5.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthlone TownKerry
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack22%26%
Defense26%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athlone Town Kerry
HATHAT
Played141731161531
Wins7%12%10%44%13%29%
Draws43%12%26%13%27%19%
Loses50%76%65%44%60%52%

Form: Athlone Town: LLDWWLLLLDDLDWLLLDDLLLDDLLLLLLL • Kerry: WDLLLWLLWLLLWWDLWDWLLLLLWDLWDDL

League goals

Metric Athlone Town Kerry
HATHAT
GF total111324172037
GF avg0.80.80.81.11.31.2
GA total263662163349
GA avg1.92.12.01.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthlone TownKerry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%84%65%74%
1.523%58%39%42%
2.50%35%13%29%
3.50%13%3%13%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthlone TownKerry
HATHAT
Clean sheets235628
Failed to score77147411

Penalties

MetricAthlone TownKerry
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAthlone TownKerry
Wins22
Draws22
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-56-10-43-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against5644

Model comparison

MetricAthlone TownKerry
Form0%100%
Att45%55%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h7%93%
Goals19%81%
Total27.0%73.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kerry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athlone Town = 1.11 (league 1.58), Kerry = 1.95 (league 1.26)

Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athlone Town 0 4.7% 9.1% 8.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
1 5.2% 10.1% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.9% 5.6% 5.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 55.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1