Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:45 • UCD Bowl
Match Finished

UCD

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.58) 1.22 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.0% 27.2% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
10.6%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
UCD 0 8.5% 10.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.6% 12.9% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUCDKerry
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack67%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UCD Kerry
HATHAT
Played161531161430
Wins31%53%42%44%14%30%
Draws31%13%23%13%29%20%
Loses38%33%35%44%57%50%

Form: UCD: LDDLDWLLWLLWLDLWWDLWWDWWLWWDWLW • Kerry: WDLLLWLLWLLLWWDLWDWLLLLLWDLWDD

League goals

Metric UCD Kerry
HATHAT
GF total151934171936
GF avg0.91.31.11.11.41.2
GA total181634163147
GA avg1.11.11.11.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUCDKerry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%74%63%73%
1.532%23%40%40%
2.513%10%13%30%
3.50%3%3%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUCDKerry
HATHAT
Clean sheets358628
Failed to score74117411

Penalties

MetricUCDKerry
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricUCDKerry
Wins22
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-43-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricUCDKerry
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h80%20%
Goals78%22%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : UCD or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UCD = 1.25 (league 1.58), Kerry = 1.22 (league 1.26)

Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
UCD 0 8.5% 10.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.6% 12.9% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.6% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1