Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Carlisle Grounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.58) 0.72 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.4% 10.0% 5.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.8%
2 - 0
10.2%
4 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Longford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bray Wanderers 0 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.4% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBray WanderersLongford Town
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack59%41%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bray Wanderers Longford Town
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins75%44%59%41%7%25%
Draws0%13%6%29%27%28%
Loses25%44%34%29%67%47%

Form: Bray Wanderers: WLWLLWWWWWWWLDWLWLLLWWWWWDLWLWLW • Longford Town: LDLWLWDLLLDLWDDLLDWWLDWLLLWLDDLW

League goals

Metric Bray Wanderers Longford Town
HATHAT
GF total352156241034
GF avg2.21.31.81.40.71.1
GA total212445223456
GA avg1.31.51.41.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBray WanderersLongford Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%69%69%84%
1.550%50%25%50%
2.525%16%13%22%
3.59%3%0%13%
4.50%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBray WanderersLongford Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610325
Failed to score1235510

Penalties

MetricBray WanderersLongford Town
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total95

Streaks

MetricBray WanderersLongford Town
Wins72
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-10-1
Biggest losses1-35-00-35-0
Goals For4431
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricBray WanderersLongford Town
Form64%36%
Att59%41%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h60%40%
Goals70%30%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Bray Wanderers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 1xBet
Draw4.55 @ Pinnacle
Away5.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bray Wanderers = 3.20 (league 1.58), Longford Town = 0.72 (league 1.26)

Longford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bray Wanderers 0 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.4% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.2% 7.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.7% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.4% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 5.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1