Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Oriel Park
Match Finished
3 - 2

UCD

Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.57) 1.04 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 24.9% 24.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundalk 0 7.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundalkUCD
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack88%53%
Defense59%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundalk UCD
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins63%63%63%35%53%44%
Draws38%19%28%29%13%22%
Loses0%19%9%35%33%34%

Form: Dundalk: WWWDWWWWWDDWDDWWWDDLWWLWWWWWDDWL • UCD: LDDLDWLLWLLWLDLWWDLWWDWWLWWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Dundalk UCD
HATHAT
GF total362965171936
GF avg2.31.82.01.01.31.1
GA total161127191635
GA avg1.00.70.81.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundalkUCD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%56%66%75%
1.553%22%34%22%
2.534%6%13%9%
3.513%0%0%3%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundalkUCD
HATHAT
Clean sheets5914358
Failed to score0447411

Penalties

MetricDundalkUCD
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricDundalkUCD
Wins52
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-73-10-3
Biggest losses—2-00-34-0
Goals For6733
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricDundalkUCD
Form44%56%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total65.0%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Dundalk or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 188Bet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away5.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dundalk = 1.61 (league 1.57), UCD = 1.04 (league 1.26)

UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundalk 0 7.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 24.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1