Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Mounthawk Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.58) 0.87 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 31.5% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Treaty United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kerry 0 14.8% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKerryTreaty United
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack35%24%
Defense65%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kerry Treaty United
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins44%13%28%56%13%34%
Draws13%31%22%19%31%25%
Loses44%56%50%25%56%41%

Form: Kerry: WDLLLWLLWLLLWWDLWDWLLLLLWDLWDDLD • Treaty United: LWWDLDLWLDLWWLWWLWDDLDWDLDLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Kerry Treaty United
HATHAT
GF total172037281745
GF avg1.11.31.21.81.11.4
GA total163349202444
GA avg1.02.11.51.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKerryTreaty United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%72%66%75%
1.538%41%41%38%
2.513%28%19%13%
3.53%13%9%3%
4.50%0%6%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKerryTreaty United
HATHAT
Clean sheets639538
Failed to score75124711

Penalties

MetricKerryTreaty United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricKerryTreaty United
Wins22
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-10-5
Biggest losses0-43-00-73-0
Goals For4355
Goals Against4473

Model comparison

MetricKerryTreaty United
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h62%38%
Goals45%55%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Kerry or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kerry = 1.04 (league 1.58), Treaty United = 0.87 (league 1.26)

Treaty United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kerry 0 14.8% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1