Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:45 • Lissywoollen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.58) 2.56 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 11.6% 80.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.8%
0 - 3
15.2%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Dundalk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athlone Town 0 5.4% 13.9% 17.8% 15.2% 9.7% 5.0%
1 1.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.8%
2 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthlone TownDundalk
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack24%65%
Defense35%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athlone Town Dundalk
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins6%12%9%65%63%64%
Draws44%12%27%35%19%27%
Loses50%76%64%0%19%9%

Form: Athlone Town: LLDWWLLLLDDLDWLLLDDLLLDDLLLLLLLDL • Dundalk: WWWDWWWWWDDWDDWWWDDLWWLWWWWWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Athlone Town Dundalk
HATHAT
GF total121325392968
GF avg0.80.80.82.31.82.1
GA total283664181129
GA avg1.82.11.91.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthlone TownDundalk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%88%58%
1.521%58%55%24%
2.50%33%36%6%
3.50%12%12%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthlone TownDundalk
HATHAT
Clean sheets3365914
Failed to score8715044

Penalties

MetricAthlone TownDundalk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricAthlone TownDundalk
Wins25
Draws22
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-26-10-7
Biggest losses0-56-12-0
Goals For2267
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricAthlone TownDundalk
Form11%89%
Att27%73%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h9%91%
Goals5%95%
Total18.0%82.0%

Advice: Winner : Dundalk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.00 @ Betfair
Draw5.77 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athlone Town = 0.35 (league 1.58), Dundalk = 2.56 (league 1.26)

Dundalk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athlone Town 0 5.4% 13.9% 17.8% 15.2% 9.7% 5.0%
1 1.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.8%
2 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 80.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1