Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 18:45 • Finn Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.58) 1.34 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 22.6% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 4.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.6% 10.2% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFinn HarpsKerry
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack31%19%
Defense13%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Finn Harps Kerry
HATHAT
Played161834181634
Wins31%17%24%39%13%26%
Draws31%33%32%17%31%24%
Loses38%50%44%44%56%50%

Form: Finn Harps: LLLDLWWDDWDLLLDLLDDWWDLDLDWWWDLLLL • Kerry: WDLLLWLLWLLLWWDLWDWLLLLLWDLWDDLDDL

League goals

Metric Finn Harps Kerry
HATHAT
GF total221638182038
GF avg1.40.91.11.01.31.1
GA total213152193352
GA avg1.31.71.51.12.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFinn HarpsKerry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%74%62%74%
1.521%53%35%41%
2.56%24%12%26%
3.56%3%3%12%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFinn HarpsKerry
HATHAT
Clean sheets459639
Failed to score4488513

Penalties

MetricFinn HarpsKerry
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricFinn HarpsKerry
Wins32
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-14-01-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-43-0
Goals For5243
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricFinn HarpsKerry
Form25%75%
Att63%38%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Finn Harps or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Finn Harps = 1.86 (league 1.58), Kerry = 1.34 (league 1.26)

Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 4.1% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.6% 10.2% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1