Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:45 • Mounthawk Park
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.58) 1.03 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 30.8% 36.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Wexford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kerry 0 13.5% 13.9% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKerryWexford
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack43%57%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kerry Wexford
HATHAT
Played171633171734
Wins41%13%27%35%35%35%
Draws18%31%24%18%29%24%
Loses41%56%48%47%35%41%

Form: Kerry: WDLLLWLLWLLLWWDLWDWLLLLLWDLWDDLDD • Wexford: WWLWLLWWDDWLLLDWLDLDWLDLWLLLDDWWWL

League goals

Metric Kerry Wexford
HATHAT
GF total182038212243
GF avg1.11.31.21.21.31.3
GA total173350232346
GA avg1.02.11.51.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKerryWexford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%62%79%
1.536%39%44%35%
2.512%27%18%18%
3.53%12%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKerryWexford
HATHAT
Clean sheets639437
Failed to score75128513

Penalties

MetricKerryWexford
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricKerryWexford
Wins23
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-34-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricKerryWexford
Form29%71%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals39%61%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wexford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kerry = 0.97 (league 1.58), Wexford = 1.03 (league 1.26)

Wexford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kerry 0 13.5% 13.9% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1