Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:45 • Carlisle Grounds
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.57) 1.34 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 17.0% 16.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bray Wanderers 0 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.8% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.5% 8.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBray WanderersKerry
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack40%20%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bray Wanderers Kerry
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins71%39%54%39%12%26%
Draws0%11%6%17%35%26%
Loses29%50%40%44%53%49%

Form: Bray Wanderers: WLWLLWWWWWWWLDWLWLLLWWWWWDLWLWLWLLL • Kerry: WDLLLWLLWLLLWWDLWDWLLLLLWDLWDDLDDLD

League goals

Metric Bray Wanderers Kerry
HATHAT
GF total352358182139
GF avg2.11.31.71.01.21.1
GA total232952193453
GA avg1.41.61.51.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBray WanderersKerry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%71%63%74%
1.546%54%34%40%
2.523%17%11%26%
3.59%3%3%11%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBray WanderersKerry
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610639
Failed to score2248513

Penalties

MetricBray WanderersKerry
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total95

Streaks

MetricBray WanderersKerry
Wins72
Draws12
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-44-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-00-43-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricBray WanderersKerry
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bray Wanderers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away4.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bray Wanderers = 2.68 (league 1.57), Kerry = 1.34 (league 1.26)

Kerry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bray Wanderers 0 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.8% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.5% 8.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1