Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 18:45 • Finn Park
Match Finished
3 - 4

UCD

Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.58) 1.44 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 26.7% 47.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 9.0% 12.9% 9.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFinn HarpsUCD
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack33%73%
Defense7%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Finn Harps UCD
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins29%17%23%33%53%43%
Draws35%33%34%33%12%23%
Loses35%50%43%33%35%34%

Form: Finn Harps: LLLDLWWDDWDLLLDLLDDWWDLDLDWWWDLLLLD • UCD: LDDLDWLLWLLWLDLWWDLWWDWWLWWDWLWWLWD

League goals

Metric Finn Harps UCD
HATHAT
GF total231639192443
GF avg1.40.91.11.11.41.2
GA total223153211940
GA avg1.31.71.51.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFinn HarpsUCD
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%74%69%74%
1.520%51%40%26%
2.56%23%14%11%
3.56%3%0%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFinn HarpsUCD
HATHAT
Clean sheets459369
Failed to score4487411

Penalties

MetricFinn HarpsUCD
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFinn HarpsUCD
Wins32
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-13-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-34-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricFinn HarpsUCD
Form9%91%
Att31%69%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UCD

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Finn Harps = 0.97 (league 1.58), UCD = 1.44 (league 1.26)

UCD
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finn Harps 0 9.0% 12.9% 9.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 47.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1