Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • NACK5 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.24) 0.99 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 32.9% 38.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.9%
0 - 1
16.7%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Imabari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Omiya Ardija 0 16.9% 16.7% 8.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.3% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOmiya ArdijaImabari
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack45%64%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Omiya Ardija Imabari
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins47%43%45%20%57%38%
Draws33%21%28%40%29%34%
Loses20%36%28%40%14%28%

Form: Omiya Ardija: WWWWLWLDWDWLDWWWDDDDDLLWLWWLL • Imabari: LDWWDWDWDDWDDWLLLDDLDLWWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Omiya Ardija Imabari
HATHAT
GF total211839171835
GF avg1.41.31.31.11.31.2
GA total141125201030
GA avg0.90.80.91.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOmiya ArdijaImabari
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%59%59%66%
1.545%24%38%28%
2.514%3%17%7%
3.53%0%7%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOmiya ArdijaImabari
HATHAT
Clean sheets66124610
Failed to score2687512

Penalties

MetricOmiya ArdijaImabari
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricOmiya ArdijaImabari
Wins45
Draws52
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-12-41-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricOmiya ArdijaImabari
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Omiya Ardija or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Omiya Ardija = 0.79 (league 1.24), Imabari = 0.99 (league 1.19)

Imabari
0 1 2 3 4 5
Omiya Ardija 0 16.9% 16.7% 8.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.2% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.3% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 38.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1