Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 10:00 • Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.24) 1.02 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 24.2% 22.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Roasso Kumamoto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 6.7% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack82%64%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagan Tosu Roasso Kumamoto
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins47%43%45%40%21%31%
Draws33%14%24%20%21%21%
Loses20%43%31%40%57%48%

Form: Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLW • Roasso Kumamoto: LWLDLWWDDLWDLLDLLLDLLWLWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Sagan Tosu Roasso Kumamoto
HATHAT
GF total191534191635
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.11.2
GA total171431202343
GA avg1.11.01.11.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%66%72%72%
1.538%28%41%38%
2.53%10%7%28%
3.50%3%0%7%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510448
Failed to score257538

Penalties

MetricSagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
Wins32
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-43-10-45-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricSagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sagan Tosu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagan Tosu = 1.68 (league 1.24), Roasso Kumamoto = 1.02 (league 1.19)

Roasso Kumamoto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagan Tosu 0 6.7% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 22.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1