Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 09:00 • PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.24) 0.65 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.5% 19.0% 10.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kataller Toyama
0 1 2 3 4 5
V-varen Nagasaki 0 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.7% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricV-varen NagasakiKataller Toyama
Played55
Form100%7%
Attack53%18%
Defense76%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric V-varen Nagasaki Kataller Toyama
HATHAT
Played151429141529
Wins60%43%52%21%13%17%
Draws27%36%31%21%33%28%
Loses13%21%17%57%53%55%

Form: V-varen Nagasaki: WDWDWWLLLDLDDWDWWLDWWWDDWWWWW • Kataller Toyama: WLWWDLLDDLLDDLDLDLLLWWLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric V-varen Nagasaki Kataller Toyama
HATHAT
GF total252348121022
GF avg1.71.61.70.90.70.8
GA total162339162339
GA avg1.11.61.31.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineV-varen NagasakiKataller Toyama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%79%52%76%
1.552%31%21%48%
2.517%17%3%10%
3.53%7%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricV-varen NagasakiKataller Toyama
HATHAT
Clean sheets606347
Failed to score2136814

Penalties

MetricV-varen NagasakiKataller Toyama
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricV-varen NagasakiKataller Toyama
Wins32
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-24-10-23-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricV-varen NagasakiKataller Toyama
Form94%6%
Att75%25%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total75.8%24.2%

Advice: Double chance : V-varen Nagasaki or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Dafabet
Draw5.19 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ SBO
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): V-varen Nagasaki = 2.06 (league 1.24), Kataller Toyama = 0.65 (league 1.19)

Kataller Toyama
0 1 2 3 4 5
V-varen Nagasaki 0 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.7% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1