J2 League — Japan
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Yamaha Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.26) 0.99 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 30.8% 33.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Omiya Ardija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 13.5% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJubilo IwataOmiya Ardija
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%50%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jubilo Iwata Omiya Ardija
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins67%27%47%44%43%43%
Draws7%33%20%31%21%27%
Loses27%40%33%25%36%30%

Form: Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWWDWL • Omiya Ardija: WWWWLWLDWDWLDWWWDDDDDLLWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Jubilo Iwata Omiya Ardija
HATHAT
GF total242145231841
GF avg1.61.41.51.41.31.4
GA total142438171128
GA avg0.91.61.31.10.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJubilo IwataOmiya Ardija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%67%73%60%
1.537%40%47%27%
2.523%17%13%7%
3.510%3%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJubilo IwataOmiya Ardija
HATHAT
Clean sheets73106612
Failed to score347268

Penalties

MetricJubilo IwataOmiya Ardija
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricJubilo IwataOmiya Ardija
Wins34
Draws25
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-43-00-4
Biggest losses1-43-12-32-1
Goals For5434
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricJubilo IwataOmiya Ardija
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Jubilo Iwata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jubilo Iwata = 1.01 (league 1.26), Omiya Ardija = 0.99 (league 1.19)

Omiya Ardija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 13.5% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1