Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Imabari Satoyama Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.24) 1.20 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 29.5% 43.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imabari 0 12.3% 14.9% 8.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricImabariSagan Tosu
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%86%
Defense50%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Imabari Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins20%60%40%50%43%47%
Draws40%27%33%31%14%23%
Loses40%13%27%19%43%30%

Form: Imabari: LDWWDWDWDDWDDWLLLDDLDLWWWWWLLW • Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Imabari Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
GF total172138231538
GF avg1.11.41.31.41.11.3
GA total201232191433
GA avg1.30.81.11.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineImabariSagan Tosu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%67%77%67%
1.540%30%40%30%
2.520%7%7%10%
3.57%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricImabariSagan Tosu
HATHAT
Clean sheets46105510
Failed to score7512257

Penalties

MetricImabariSagan Tosu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricImabariSagan Tosu
Wins53
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-20-2
Biggest losses2-41-01-43-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against4243

Model comparison

MetricImabariSagan Tosu
Form56%44%
Att37%63%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Imabari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 10Bet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Imabari = 0.89 (league 1.24), Sagan Tosu = 1.20 (league 1.19)

Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imabari 0 12.3% 14.9% 8.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 43.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1