Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 05:00 • Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.24) 2.00 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 21.6% 48.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Montedio Yamagata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Consadole Sapporo 0 3.1% 6.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.7% 6.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricConsadole SapporoMontedio Yamagata
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack55%82%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Consadole Sapporo Montedio Yamagata
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins47%38%42%40%31%35%
Draws13%13%13%13%19%16%
Loses40%50%45%47%50%48%

Form: Consadole Sapporo: LLLLWWLWLWLDWLDWLDDWWWLWLLWWLWL • Montedio Yamagata: LLLWWDDDWLLDLWDLLLLWLWLWLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Consadole Sapporo Montedio Yamagata
HATHAT
GF total191938232245
GF avg1.31.21.21.51.41.5
GA total262753222345
GA avg1.71.71.71.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineConsadole SapporoMontedio Yamagata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%84%71%77%
1.535%48%42%45%
2.510%23%29%16%
3.50%10%3%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricConsadole SapporoMontedio Yamagata
HATHAT
Clean sheets415527
Failed to score347549

Penalties

MetricConsadole SapporoMontedio Yamagata
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricConsadole SapporoMontedio Yamagata
Wins32
Draws23
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-55-10-43-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against5543

Model comparison

MetricConsadole SapporoMontedio Yamagata
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%37%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Consadole Sapporo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Consadole Sapporo = 1.47 (league 1.24), Montedio Yamagata = 2.00 (league 1.19)

Montedio Yamagata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Consadole Sapporo 0 3.1% 6.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.7% 6.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 48.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1