J2 League — Japan
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 05:00 • Fukuda Denshi Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.28) 1.28 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 22.5% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
JEF United Chiba 0 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.0% 10.2% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack55%55%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric JEF United Chiba V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins53%50%52%56%40%48%
Draws27%19%23%31%40%35%
Loses20%31%26%13%20%16%

Form: JEF United Chiba: WWWWWWLWWWWDDLWDLDDLLLWDWWLWLWD • V-varen Nagasaki: WDWDWWLLLDLDDWDWWLDWWWDDWWWWWDD

League goals

Metric JEF United Chiba V-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
GF total241943262349
GF avg1.61.21.41.61.51.6
GA total151429172340
GA avg1.00.90.91.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%87%77%
1.542%26%48%29%
2.519%3%16%16%
3.53%0%3%6%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611617
Failed to score459224

Penalties

MetricJEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricJEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
Wins65
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-35-11-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-24-1
Goals For5353
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricJEF United ChibaV-varen Nagasaki
Form39%61%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or V-varen Nagasaki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): JEF United Chiba = 1.88 (league 1.28), V-varen Nagasaki = 1.28 (league 1.17)

V-varen Nagasaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
JEF United Chiba 0 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.0% 10.2% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 25.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1