J2 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 05:00 • Ishin Me-Life Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.27) 1.04 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 31.6% 38.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Renofa Yamaguchi 0 14.9% 15.5% 8.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRenofa YamaguchiSagan Tosu
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack50%100%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins20%6%13%50%40%45%
Draws53%31%42%31%20%26%
Loses27%63%45%19%40%29%

Form: Renofa Yamaguchi: LDWLDLLDDDLWLLLWDDDLDLDDLDLDWLL • Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLWWD

League goals

Metric Renofa Yamaguchi Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
GF total161228231639
GF avg1.10.80.91.41.11.3
GA total162440191534
GA avg1.11.51.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRenofa YamaguchiSagan Tosu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%81%77%68%
1.529%45%39%29%
2.50%3%6%10%
3.50%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRenofa YamaguchiSagan Tosu
HATHAT
Clean sheets4265510
Failed to score4812257

Penalties

MetricRenofa YamaguchiSagan Tosu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricRenofa YamaguchiSagan Tosu
Wins13
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-20-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-43-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricRenofa YamaguchiSagan Tosu
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Renofa Yamaguchi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Renofa Yamaguchi = 0.87 (league 1.27), Sagan Tosu = 1.04 (league 1.17)

Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Renofa Yamaguchi 0 14.9% 15.5% 8.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 38.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1