Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 06:00 • Egao Kenko Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.24) 1.53 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 23.8% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Iwaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roasso Kumamoto 0 4.5% 6.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRoasso KumamotoIwaki
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack88%100%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Roasso Kumamoto Iwaki
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins40%19%29%31%33%32%
Draws20%25%23%38%27%32%
Loses40%56%48%31%40%35%

Form: Roasso Kumamoto: LWLDLWWDDLWDLLDLLLDLLWLWLWLWWLD • Iwaki: LDDDLLLLLWWWDDDLLWDWLWDDWLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Roasso Kumamoto Iwaki
HATHAT
GF total192039252146
GF avg1.31.31.31.61.41.5
GA total202949182240
GA avg1.31.81.61.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRoasso KumamotoIwaki
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%68%87%
1.545%42%42%29%
2.56%29%19%10%
3.50%10%13%3%
4.50%3%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRoasso KumamotoIwaki
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score5384610

Penalties

MetricRoasso KumamotoIwaki
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRoasso KumamotoIwaki
Wins23
Draws23
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-11-5
Biggest losses0-45-10-24-1
Goals For3255
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricRoasso KumamotoIwaki
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Iwaki

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Unibet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Roasso Kumamoto = 1.58 (league 1.24), Iwaki = 1.53 (league 1.19)

Iwaki
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roasso Kumamoto 0 4.5% 6.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 36.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1