J2 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 05:00 • ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.28) 1.66 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 20.9% 30.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Roasso Kumamoto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.8% 8.0% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontedio YamagataRoasso Kumamoto
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack85%54%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montedio Yamagata Roasso Kumamoto
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins40%35%38%38%19%28%
Draws13%18%16%19%25%22%
Loses47%47%47%44%56%50%

Form: Montedio Yamagata: LLLWWDDDWLLDLWDLLLLWLWLWLWLWWLWW • Roasso Kumamoto: LWLDLWWDDLWDLLDLLLDLLWLWLWLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Montedio Yamagata Roasso Kumamoto
HATHAT
GF total232447192039
GF avg1.51.41.51.21.31.2
GA total222446222951
GA avg1.51.41.41.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontedio YamagataRoasso Kumamoto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%72%75%
1.544%44%44%44%
2.528%16%6%28%
3.53%6%0%9%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontedio YamagataRoasso Kumamoto
HATHAT
Clean sheets527448
Failed to score549639

Penalties

MetricMontedio YamagataRoasso Kumamoto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMontedio YamagataRoasso Kumamoto
Wins22
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-43-10-45-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricMontedio YamagataRoasso Kumamoto
Form63%37%
Att61%39%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Montedio Yamagata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montedio Yamagata = 2.11 (league 1.28), Roasso Kumamoto = 1.66 (league 1.17)

Roasso Kumamoto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.8% 8.0% 6.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1