Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 08:00 • Yamaha Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.24) 1.02 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 32.2% 39.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 15.8% 16.1% 8.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJubilo IwataTokushima Vortis
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack60%70%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jubilo Iwata Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins63%31%47%50%44%47%
Draws6%31%19%25%31%28%
Loses31%38%34%25%25%25%

Form: Jubilo Iwata: WWLLWWWDDLLLDWWWDDWWLLWLLWWDWLLW • Tokushima Vortis: WWDDLDWLDLWWWLWWDWDWDLDWWLWDLLWW

League goals

Metric Jubilo Iwata Tokushima Vortis
HATHAT
GF total272249161834
GF avg1.71.41.51.01.11.1
GA total18244211920
GA avg1.11.51.30.70.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJubilo IwataTokushima Vortis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%66%72%47%
1.538%41%28%13%
2.525%19%6%3%
3.59%6%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJubilo IwataTokushima Vortis
HATHAT
Clean sheets74119817
Failed to score347459

Penalties

MetricJubilo IwataTokushima Vortis
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricJubilo IwataTokushima Vortis
Wins33
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-42-01-3
Biggest losses1-43-10-22-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricJubilo IwataTokushima Vortis
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tokushima Vortis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.67 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jubilo Iwata = 0.82 (league 1.24), Tokushima Vortis = 1.02 (league 1.19)

Tokushima Vortis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jubilo Iwata 0 15.8% 16.1% 8.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1