J2 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 04:00 • Arigato Service Dream
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.28) 0.89 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 28.5% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imabari 0 11.3% 10.0% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricImabariRenofa Yamaguchi
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack33%50%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Imabari Renofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins19%56%38%19%6%13%
Draws44%25%34%50%31%41%
Loses38%19%28%31%63%47%

Form: Imabari: LDWWDWDWDDWDDWLLLDDLDLWWWWWLLWDL • Renofa Yamaguchi: LDWLDLLDDDLWLLLWDDDLDLDDLDLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Imabari Renofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
GF total182139171229
GF avg1.11.31.21.10.80.9
GA total211334182442
GA avg1.30.81.11.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineImabariRenofa Yamaguchi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%69%63%81%
1.538%28%28%47%
2.519%6%0%3%
3.56%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricImabariRenofa Yamaguchi
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610426
Failed to score76134812

Penalties

MetricImabariRenofa Yamaguchi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricImabariRenofa Yamaguchi
Wins51
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-42-00-1
Biggest losses2-41-01-23-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricImabariRenofa Yamaguchi
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total54.4%45.6%

Advice: Double chance : Imabari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Imabari = 1.29 (league 1.28), Renofa Yamaguchi = 0.89 (league 1.17)

Renofa Yamaguchi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imabari 0 11.3% 10.0% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1