Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 08:00 • Peace Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.24) 1.02 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 29.2% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ventforet Kofu
0 1 2 3 4 5
V-varen Nagasaki 0 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricV-varen NagasakiVentforet Kofu
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack64%64%
Defense73%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric V-varen Nagasaki Ventforet Kofu
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins56%44%50%29%40%34%
Draws31%38%34%29%27%28%
Loses13%19%16%41%33%38%

Form: V-varen Nagasaki: WDWDWWLLLDLDDWDWWLDWWWDDWWWWWDDW • Ventforet Kofu: WLLDLLWWDDDLLWDWWLDDDWWLWWLLLDWL

League goals

Metric V-varen Nagasaki Ventforet Kofu
HATHAT
GF total262551181735
GF avg1.61.61.61.11.11.1
GA total172340211334
GA avg1.11.41.31.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineV-varen NagasakiVentforet Kofu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%72%56%
1.550%28%19%41%
2.516%16%13%9%
3.53%6%6%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricV-varen NagasakiVentforet Kofu
HATHAT
Clean sheets6286814
Failed to score224369

Penalties

MetricV-varen NagasakiVentforet Kofu
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricV-varen NagasakiVentforet Kofu
Wins52
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-11-32-0
Goals For5334
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricV-varen NagasakiVentforet Kofu
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h36%64%
Goals45%55%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : V-varen Nagasaki or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): V-varen Nagasaki = 1.16 (league 1.24), Ventforet Kofu = 1.02 (league 1.19)

Ventforet Kofu
0 1 2 3 4 5
V-varen Nagasaki 0 11.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 31.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1