J2 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 05:00 • Yurtec Stadium Sendai
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.27) 0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.1% 32.9% 30.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 0
15.7%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vegalta Sendai 0 16.7% 14.1% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.7% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVegalta SendaiSagan Tosu
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense43%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vegalta Sendai Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%47%42%53%44%48%
Draws38%41%39%29%19%24%
Loses25%12%18%18%38%27%

Form: Vegalta Sendai: WLWDDLWWDWDWWWLDWDWDWLDDLDWDDWWLD • Sagan Tosu: LLLDWWLWWDWLDWDWWDLDWWWLWLDLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Vegalta Sendai Sagan Tosu
HATHAT
GF total192140241842
GF avg1.21.21.21.41.11.3
GA total151530191635
GA avg0.90.90.91.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVegalta SendaiSagan Tosu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%61%79%67%
1.533%21%39%27%
2.512%9%6%9%
3.53%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVegalta SendaiSagan Tosu
HATHAT
Clean sheets58136511
Failed to score459257

Penalties

MetricVegalta SendaiSagan Tosu
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricVegalta SendaiSagan Tosu
Wins33
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-43-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricVegalta SendaiSagan Tosu
Form38%62%
Att42%58%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h40%60%
Goals18%82%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sagan Tosu

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away3.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vegalta Sendai = 0.94 (league 1.27), Sagan Tosu = 0.85 (league 1.17)

Sagan Tosu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vegalta Sendai 0 16.7% 14.1% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.7% 13.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.1% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1