J2 League — Japan
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 04:00 • ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.28) 1.79 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 23.2% 53.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Omiya Ardija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 5.8% 10.4% 9.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontedio YamagataOmiya Ardija
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense14%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montedio Yamagata Omiya Ardija
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%35%36%47%50%48%
Draws19%18%18%29%19%24%
Loses44%47%45%24%31%27%

Form: Montedio Yamagata: LLLWWDDDWLLDLWDLLLLWLWLWLWLWWLWWD • Omiya Ardija: WWWWLWLDWDWLDWWWDDDDDLLWLWWLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Montedio Yamagata Omiya Ardija
HATHAT
GF total242448242448
GF avg1.51.41.51.41.51.5
GA total232447171532
GA avg1.41.41.41.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontedio YamagataOmiya Ardija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%79%76%61%
1.542%42%48%27%
2.527%15%15%9%
3.53%6%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontedio YamagataOmiya Ardija
HATHAT
Clean sheets5277613
Failed to score549268

Penalties

MetricMontedio YamagataOmiya Ardija
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMontedio YamagataOmiya Ardija
Wins24
Draws35
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-12-32-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricMontedio YamagataOmiya Ardija
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Omiya Ardija

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montedio Yamagata = 1.06 (league 1.28), Omiya Ardija = 1.79 (league 1.17)

Omiya Ardija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montedio Yamagata 0 5.8% 10.4% 9.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 53.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1